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Saturday, November 9, 2024

Putin’s New Ultimatum: Long-Range Missiles as the Latest Red Line in Ukraine Conflict

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Putin has warned that if NATO countries supply Ukraine with long-range missiles capable of striking Russian territory, this would be considered as direct participation of NATO in the conflict. This statement suggests that such an action would fundamentally alter the nature of the conflict, potentially leading to direct military confrontation between NATO and Russia. The mention of this new red line indicates Putin’s intent to escalate the conflict if these missiles are used against Russian territory. This could involve retaliatory strikes or other forms of military response, potentially expanding the scope of the conflict beyond Ukraine’s borders. This isn’t the first time Putin has drawn red lines. Over the years, various military aids to Ukraine, like Javelins, HIMARS, and tanks, were also initially considered red lines, but the escalation feared did not materialize in the same manner each time. However, the threat of using long-range missiles to strike Russian soil represents a significant escalation due to the direct threat to Russian sovereignty.The international community, especially NATO countries, would need to weigh the risks of escalation against the strategic benefits of allowing Ukraine to strike deeper into Russian-held territories. This decision could influence not just the Ukraine-Russia conflict but also broader geopolitical dynamics, including the potential for a direct NATO-Russia confrontation.Public Sentiment and Analysis: From posts on X, there’s a mix of skepticism and concern. Some users highlight the frequency of these “red lines” being drawn, suggesting a diminishing impact of such threats due to repeated warnings without immediate severe consequences. Others express genuine concern over the implications of crossing this new threshold, especially given the historical context of Cold War-like tensions.Putin’s statement might also be seen as a strategic move to deter further military aid to Ukraine or to influence upcoming discussions or negotiations, possibly aiming to limit the scope of Western involvement in the conflict.

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